Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.511792 0.563907 0.619971 0.684917 0.758269 0.838762 0.934068
2025-10-19 0.429232 0.501643 0.585318 0.689811 0.817712 0.970331 1.167972
2025-10-26 0.380996 0.462953 0.562295 0.692883 0.861963 1.076181 1.372474
2025-11-02 0.347974 0.436127 0.547154 0.699329 0.905749 1.180838 1.583536
2025-11-09 0.314092 0.403529 0.519701 0.684447 0.916682 1.239590 1.735773
2025-11-16 0.294097 0.386564 0.510154 0.691107 0.955678 1.338876 1.956291
2025-11-23 0.273386 0.366434 0.493898 0.685783 0.975491 1.410634 2.142455
2025-11-30 0.258425 0.352793 0.485100 0.689609 1.008058 1.503581 2.372950
2025-12-07 0.241536 0.334971 0.468616 0.680000 1.018192 1.561207 2.550834
2025-12-14 0.226803 0.319134 0.453664 0.671052 1.027813 1.617942 2.733446
2025-12-21 0.209918 0.298955 0.430701 0.647447 1.010891 1.627525 2.830448
2025-12-28 0.203597 0.294189 0.430755 0.660397 1.055753 1.747921 3.152529
2026-01-04 0.196673 0.288195 0.428678 0.670001 1.096403 1.866610 3.493000
2026-01-11 0.189119 0.280748 0.423776 0.674431 1.128315 1.972936 3.826290
2026-01-18 0.181919 0.273372 0.418401 0.677429 1.157593 2.077147 4.172066
2026-01-25 0.175937 0.267561 0.415137 0.683701 1.193307 2.197845 4.575506
2026-02-01 0.166557 0.255661 0.400931 0.669219 1.187778 2.233756 4.786914
2026-02-08 0.161633 0.250842 0.398389 0.675701 1.223687 2.360183 5.240659
2026-02-15 0.155060 0.242893 0.389952 0.670520 1.235595 2.436161 5.581246
2026-02-22 0.150409 0.237943 0.386414 0.674243 1.265913 2.556246 6.060987
2026-03-01 0.144001 0.229649 0.376476 0.664891 1.267893 2.611928 6.375708
2026-03-08 0.138106 0.221966 0.367210 0.656183 1.270408 2.669074 6.706202
2026-03-15 0.130473 0.210904 0.351272 0.633206 1.239895 2.643767 6.789838